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Rates just hit 6.71%, the highest in 13 months — here's how to think through the "should I wait" question instead of just guessing.
A buyer called me Monday night, genuinely rattled. She'd been preapproved a month ago, found a house she loved in Peoria over the weekend, and then saw the news that mortgage rates had just climbed to their highest point in over a year. "Should I just wait?" she asked. "What if they drop?"
It's the single most common question I get from West Valley buyers right now, and there's no magic answer — but there is a better way to think about it than just guessing at where rates go next.
What Actually Happened With Rates This Week?
Freddie Mac reported the 30-year fixed mortgage rate averaging 6.71% as of September 3, 2026, up from 6.66% the week before — the highest level in 13 months. Freddie Mac's chief economist, Sam Khater, noted that purchase demand has stayed relatively stable even as buyers adjust to these conditions. That last part matters: rates went up, but buyers didn't disappear from the market. They adapted.
Is Waiting for Rates to Drop a Good Strategy?
Here's the honest, unglamorous answer: nobody — not me, not an economist, not a headline — can reliably time mortgage rates. If you wait for a drop and it doesn't come for a year, you've paid rent or missed a house you loved for a guess that didn't pay off. If it does drop, you can often refinance later, but you can't go back in time and buy the house you didn't buy.
The more useful question isn't "will rates drop" — it's "can I afford this home at today's rate, and does the home itself still make sense for the next five-plus years?" If the answer to both is yes, the rate becomes a number to manage, not a reason to sit out.
What Should You Actually Do Right Now?
Get a real, current preapproval — not one from three months ago. Rates move fast enough that an old preapproval can quietly understate your monthly payment. Ask your lender to run the numbers at today's 6.71% rate specifically, not an estimate.
Ask about rate buydowns. In a market where 36% of Peoria's active listings have already taken a price cut, some sellers are more open to negotiating a temporary or permanent rate buydown instead of dropping the price further. It's worth asking on any home that's been sitting for a while.
Separate "the rate" from "the house." A rate is temporary and refinanceable. The right layout, the right lot, the right commute — those aren't. Don't let a headline talk you out of a home that actually fits your life.
Frequently Asked Questions
Should I wait for mortgage rates to drop before buying a house? Not necessarily — rates are unpredictable, and waiting means risking losing the right home for an uncertain future benefit. A better approach is confirming you can comfortably afford the home at today's rate and treating future rate drops as a refinance opportunity, not a reason to delay.
What is the current mortgage rate as of September 2026? As of September 3, 2026, Freddie Mac reported the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate at 6.71%, up from 6.66% the previous week and the highest level in 13 months.
Can I negotiate a rate buydown with a seller? Yes, in many cases. With a meaningful share of West Valley listings sitting on the market longer and taking price cuts, some sellers are open to funding a temporary or permanent rate buydown instead of reducing price further — it's worth raising in your offer.
Is now a bad time to buy a home in the West Valley? It depends more on your personal timeline and budget than on the rate headline. Buyer demand has stayed relatively steady even with rates rising, which suggests many buyers are choosing to move forward rather than wait indefinitely.
If a rate headline is the only thing holding you back from a house you actually love, let's run your real numbers together before you decide anything — no pressure, just clarity.
This content is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute legal or financial advice. All real estate services are provided in compliance with Fair Housing laws, RESPA, TCPA, the REALTOR® Code of Ethics, and Arizona Department of Real Estate advertising regulations. Equal Housing Opportunity. Gracie Vega, Realty One Group, AZ License #SA514613000.